Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000182 0.000201 0.000222 0.000245 0.000271 0.000300 0.000333
2025-10-19 0.000144 0.000171 0.000203 0.000242 0.000290 0.000348 0.000422
2025-10-26 0.000123 0.000154 0.000193 0.000244 0.000311 0.000396 0.000515
2025-11-02 0.000107 0.000140 0.000182 0.000241 0.000323 0.000433 0.000596
2025-11-09 0.000096 0.000129 0.000174 0.000240 0.000336 0.000472 0.000684
2025-11-16 0.000086 0.000119 0.000166 0.000236 0.000343 0.000502 0.000762
2025-11-23 0.000077 0.000110 0.000157 0.000230 0.000346 0.000524 0.000829
2025-11-30 0.000072 0.000105 0.000154 0.000234 0.000363 0.000570 0.000941
2025-12-07 0.000068 0.000102 0.000153 0.000238 0.000382 0.000621 0.001068
2025-12-14 0.000062 0.000095 0.000146 0.000234 0.000384 0.000644 0.001149
2025-12-21 0.000057 0.000088 0.000138 0.000225 0.000379 0.000652 0.001202
2025-12-28 0.000054 0.000086 0.000137 0.000228 0.000395 0.000701 0.001340
2026-01-04 0.000051 0.000083 0.000135 0.000231 0.000412 0.000756 0.001503
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000079 0.000131 0.000229 0.000420 0.000794 0.001639
2026-01-18 0.000046 0.000076 0.000129 0.000231 0.000435 0.000849 0.001823
2026-01-25 0.000043 0.000072 0.000125 0.000229 0.000441 0.000884 0.001968
2026-02-01 0.000040 0.000070 0.000122 0.000228 0.000451 0.000930 0.002148
2026-02-08 0.000038 0.000066 0.000118 0.000224 0.000454 0.000961 0.002296
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000062 0.000113 0.000219 0.000451 0.000980 0.002415
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000061 0.000112 0.000222 0.000469 0.001048 0.002683
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000060 0.000112 0.000226 0.000490 0.001127 0.002995
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000057 0.000108 0.000222 0.000490 0.001153 0.003159
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000054 0.000103 0.000213 0.000479 0.001150 0.003239